One More Card...
I haven't been posting, which I know is not depriving some regular reader of my intimate thoughts, that my site traffic does not include such regular visitors, as yet, but I obviously still feel an obligation, for reasons of both the business dream of building that traffic and the intellectual need to keep writing regularly.
But golly, have I been getting cleaned out in the stock sector lately. Like, really, badly, humiliatingly terrible, particularly given that the market is up. These crypto markets I have been exploring have been some grace on all of it, but given my relative comfort levels with the two, my net losses are larger than my net gains.
I keep staring at my portfolio in frustration. I still post a note about any trade I make in the fund and often something when I trade a private stock, so it is not as if I see anything there that seems like any less of a good bet, and I honestly do believe there will be a time when I am trying to restrain myself from crowing about the performance of very nearly this exact profile of stocks. It feels like the kind of thing that will suddenly come pouring back at me like a bathtub wave, but you know how inexorable the tide can feel when it is pulling at your feet just before a new wave crashes.
Target has been doing stellar returns, which is a bright spot, and a couple of my penny stocks focused on the valuable metals sector have finally been fulfilling the promise I bought them on, late last year. I suppose that that is the takeaway I will have to carry for the moment, for my sanity, and because it fits the facts well enough to let me breathe. I must simply remember that by the time a sector makes wide news for its investment potential, it is usually at the upper end of a wave, and the investments I have made are based on the prediction that the tide is coming in on these positions, so that each new wave will crest higher.
I am compelled to add this pessimistic counterpoint, which hits some of the same notes, but I don't find as convincing: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-06/coinbase-plunges-to-all-time-low-with-ipo-etf-in-freefall
Maybe my Coinbase position will do the same as the Bumble investment did, but if it does, it seems most likely to be due to the article's final prediction (that other competitors will eat Coinbase's lunch before bitcoin demand returns enough to offer price support), which would mean that the broader market demand remains high, which would decouple Coinbase from the other market indicators.
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